LynnBlakeGolf Forums - View Single Post - Fun Probability problem Thread: Fun Probability problem View Single Post #14 02-20-2007, 03:34 PM armourall Member Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Pennsylvania Posts: 56 Quote: Just because there are four permutations of what can occur doesn't mean you have four choices. It really doesn't matter if you eliminate goat 1 or goat 2 when you have picked the car. If you switch, you will lose either way.... Then what are the odds of switching and getting goat 1? armourall View Public Profile Send a private message to armourall Find all posts by armourall