LynnBlakeGolf Forums - View Single Post - Fun Probability problem Thread: Fun Probability problem View Single Post #16 02-20-2007, 06:51 PM flogger Junior Member Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: Ontario, Canada Posts: 6 ..opening the door is not a random choice.. When the door is opened to reveal a goat, that choice is not random. There's always a goat behind one of those doors for them to show you and they only choose after you have chosen. So, that has no bearing on the initial conditions. The probability that you did not pick the car with your first pick is 2/3 and that does not change. flogger View Public Profile Send a private message to flogger Find all posts by flogger